Croatia vs Italy Euro 2024: Predictions, Match Preview, and Betting Tips

Last updated: 21 June 2024 by Leon Marshal

The image is a promotional graphic for the Euro 2024 football match between Croatia and Italy. It features the national flags of Croatia (a red and white checkered shield with a blue background) and Italy (a green, white, and red vertical tricolor) positioned on either side of a large "Vs" in the center. In the background, there is a football stadium under bright lights with a close-up of a player's leg and a football. The Euro 2024 logo and the word "Germany" are displayed in the top right corner, while a colorful border with various national flags decorates the bottom edge.

Betfred Our tip Federico Chiesa to score anytime 7/4 VISIT SITE!

Match Information

Matchup: Croatia vs Italy
Date & Time: Monday, 24th June 2024, 20:00 BST
Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Croatia faces Italy in the highly anticipated Euro 2024 match at Red Bull Arena. This article provides our expert tips and predictions, focusing on team news, tactical analysis, and betting insights. We use over 4,000 data points in every fixture to bring you Euro 2024 tips that you’ll not find anywhere else, potentially giving you an edge at the best football betting sites.

Match Odds

Croatia: 3/1
Draw: 21/10
Italy: 4/5

Recent Form

Croatia’s Last 5 Matches:

  • 19-Jun-24 – Euro 2024 Group B: Croatia 2-2 Albania
  • 15-Jun-24 – Euro 2024 Group B: Spain 3-0 Croatia
  • 08-Jun-24 – International Match: Croatia 2-1 Portugal
  • 03-Jun-24 – International Match: Croatia 3-0 North Macedonia
  • 26-Mar-24 – International Match: Egypt 2-4 Croatia

Croatia’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a significant loss to Spain followed by a hard-fought draw against Albania. Their performance against Portugal and North Macedonia showed their potential, but defensive frailties remain a concern. In their previous match at Euro 2024, Croatia managed a 2-2 draw against Albania, highlighting their attacking prowess but also their vulnerability at the back.

Italy’s Last 5 Matches:

  • 20-Jun-24 – Euro 2024 Group B: Spain 1-0 Italy
  • 15-Jun-24 – Euro 2024 Group B: Italy 2-1 Albania
  • 08-Jun-24 – International Match: Italy 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
  • 04-Jun-24 – International Match: Italy 0-0 Turkey
  • 24-Mar-24 – International Match: Italy 2-0 Ecuador

Italy has shown strong form leading into Euro 2024, with notable victories over Albania and Bosnia & Herzegovina. Their loss to Spain was a setback, but their overall performance has been solid, particularly in defense. Italy’s previous match at Euro 2024 saw them narrowly lose to Spain 1-0, demonstrating their competitive edge even against top-tier teams.

Head-to-Head: Croatia vs Italy

  • 12-Jun-15 – UEFA European Championship: Croatia 1-1 Italy
  • 16-Nov-14 – UEFA European Championship: Italy 1-1 Croatia
  • 14-Jun-12 – UEFA European Championship: Italy 1-1 Croatia
  • 16-Aug-06 – International Friendly: Italy 0-2 Croatia
  • 08-Jun-02 – FIFA World Cup: Italy 1-2 Croatia

Croatia has had a good record against Italy in recent matches, with two wins and three draws in their last five encounters. Italy has struggled to secure a victory against Croatia, indicating a competitive matchup with Croatia often having the upper hand.

Expected Line-Ups

Croatia (4-3-3):

Dominik Livaković; Josip Stanišić, Joško Gvardiol, Josip Šutalo, Ivan Perišić; Luka Modrić, Mateo Kovačić, Mario Pašalić; Andrei Kramarić, Ante Budimir, Luka Sučić

Italy (4-3-3):

Gianluigi Donnarumma; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Davide Frattesi, Federico Dimarco; Jorginho, Nicolò Barella, Lorenzo Pellegrini; Federico Chiesa, Gianluca Scamacca, Riccardo Calafiori

Injuries and Absences

Croatia:

Nikola Vlašić (Out)

Italy:

No significant absences reported

Tactical Considerations

Croatia:

Strategy Focus: Croatia will likely focus on controlling the midfield through the experience of Luka Modrić and Mateo Kovačić, aiming to create chances for their forwards.
Potential Adjustments: If Italy takes an early lead, expect Croatia to switch to a more attacking formation, bringing on additional strikers.

Key Player Battles:

Luka Modrić vs Jorginho: Both players are central to their teams’ playmaking and will battle for control in the midfield.
Ivan Perišić vs Giovanni Di Lorenzo: Perišić’s attacking runs down the wing will test Di Lorenzo’s defensive capabilities.

Italy:

Strategy Focus: Italy will look to maintain a solid defensive structure while exploiting Croatia’s defensive weaknesses with quick counter-attacks.
Potential Adjustments: If struggling to break through, Italy might introduce an additional forward to increase attacking pressure.

Key Player Battles:

Federico Chiesa vs Josip Stanišić: Chiesa’s pace and dribbling will challenge Stanišić’s defensive skills.
Gianluca Scamacca vs Joško Gvardiol: Scamacca’s physical presence will be a test for Gvardiol’s defensive strength.

Betting Tips

Top Bet: Italy to win (4/5) – Italy’s solid recent form and defensive stability give them an edge over Croatia.
Bet suggestion 2: Both teams to score (10/11) – Given Croatia’s attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, goals from both sides are likely.
Bet suggestion 3: Over 2.5 goals (6/5) – Both teams have shown the ability to score, making a high-scoring game plausible.
Bet suggestion 4: Federico Chiesa to score anytime (7/4) – Chiesa has been in good form and is a constant threat in attack.
Bet suggestion 5: Italy to win by one goal (5/2) – Italy’s recent matches suggest a tight contest with a narrow victory.

Betfred Our top tip Italy to Win by One Goal 5/2 VISIT SITE!

Match Prediction

Final Score Prediction: Croatia 1-2 Italy (7/1 for this scoreline).
Analysis: Italy’s recent form and stronger defensive record give them a slight advantage. Croatia’s defensive issues may prove costly, although their attacking strength ensures they remain a threat.

As Croatia takes on Italy in Euro 2024, our in-depth analysis provides you with unique tips and predictions, ensuring you get the most accurate insights available. For more expert betting advice, visit our guide to the best betting sites.