Week 5 Premier League 2024/25: Match Previews, Predictions & Odds

Last updated: 19 September 2024 by Leon Marshall

The image shows the Premier League logo, featuring a stylized lion's head wearing a crown on the left, with the text "Premier League" written in bold purple letters next to it. The background depicts a floodlit football pitch, suggesting a night match setting. The overall theme conveys the official branding of the English Premier League, the top-tier football competition in England.

After a dramatic round of results last week, the Premier League returns with more crucial encounters as we head into Week 5. Manchester United recovered from their earlier setbacks with a commanding win over Southampton, while Nottingham Forest stunned Liverpool with a 1-0 victory at Anfield. Chelsea and Arsenal secured narrow wins, keeping their hopes alive for the season’s early stages.

The season is still in its early phases, but teams are starting to find their rhythm, and the upcoming fixtures will be key for those looking to build momentum. Manchester City remains perfect, sitting atop the table, while Arsenal and Newcastle continue their unbeaten starts. At the other end of the table, clubs like Everton and Southampton will be desperate to climb out of the bottom three.

Let’s examine this weekend’s key fixtures, providing detailed match predictions, betting odds, and player statistics for the informed football fan.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – West Ham United vs Chelsea

Prediction: Chelsea win (Odds: 21/20 for Chelsea victory, West Ham 9/4 underdogs. The draw is priced at 11/4).

Reasoning: Chelsea’s strong away form, combined with West Ham’s struggles at home, makes the visitors favourites. West Ham have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per game at home, while Chelsea have been excellent on the road, winning both away games this season with an average of 3 goals per match. Additionally, Chelsea’s ability to score in the second half—where they’ve netted five goals in their away games—could prove decisive against a West Ham side that tends to concede late.

Players to Watch:

West Ham United: Jarrod Bowen (Forward) – Bowen’s attacking contributions have been pivotal, and his 2.3 shots per game show he’s a constant goal threat. With West Ham’s struggles, they will need Bowen’s creativity to break down Chelsea’s solid defence. Bowen is priced at 9/1 to score the first goal and 3/1 anytime.

Chelsea: Noni Madueke (Forward) – Madueke has been involved in key attacking moves, registering four shots per game, and he has a 38% goal contribution for Chelsea this season. Priced at 5/1 to score first and 13/8 anytime, his form makes him a major threat.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Prediction: Aston Villa win (Odds: 4/7 for Aston Villa victory, Wolverhampton Wanderers 9/2 underdogs. The draw is priced at 10/3).

Reasoning: Aston Villa are in excellent form, having won three of their four Premier League matches this season, including a 3-2 win against Everton in their last league outing. They also impressed in Europe, securing a 3-0 victory against BSC Young Boys. Wolves, meanwhile, have struggled in the Premier League, picking up just one point from their first four matches. Villa’s attacking strength and home advantage should see them come out on top in this fixture.

Aston Villa have been strong at home, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but their defence has been slightly leaky, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Meanwhile, Wolves have found it difficult to score on the road, netting just once in two away fixtures while conceding four goals. This disparity in form and quality should give Aston Villa the upper hand.

Players to Watch:

Aston Villa: Ollie Watkins (Forward) – Watkins has scored two goals in four appearances this season and has been central to Villa’s attacking play, averaging 2.5 shots per game. Watkins is priced at 7/2 to score first and 11/10 anytime.

Wolverhampton Wanderers: Matheus Cunha (Forward) – Cunha has been one of Wolves’ more consistent performers, scoring once and maintaining a solid match rating. He is priced at 8/1 to score first and 3/1 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Fulham vs Newcastle United

Prediction: Newcastle United win (Odds: 7/5 for Newcastle victory, Fulham 9/5 outsiders. The draw is priced at 5/2).

Reasoning: Newcastle United come into this match in strong form, having won three of their last four Premier League games. Fulham, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, securing just one win in their previous four league fixtures. Newcastle’s solid away form, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 1 goal conceded per away match, gives them the edge over Fulham, who have been vulnerable defensively, conceding 4 goals in their last four games.

Fulham’s attacking performance at home has been decent, averaging 1.5 goals per match, but their inability to keep a clean sheet in their last two home games could allow Newcastle to capitalise.

Players to Watch:

Fulham: Antonee Robinson (Defender) – Robinson has been one of Fulham’s standout performers this season, maintaining a solid match rating of 7.59 and contributing with two assists. His defensive and attacking abilities will be crucial in Fulham’s attempt to keep Newcastle at bay.

Newcastle United: Anthony Gordon (Forward) – Gordon has been in excellent form, with one goal and a match rating of 7.31. His ability to break through defences, with 1.5 shots per game, makes him a key threat for Newcastle. Gordon is priced at 5/1 to score first and 7/4 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Leicester City vs Everton

Prediction: Leicester City win (Odds: 6/4 for Leicester victory, Everton 7/4 underdogs. The draw is priced at 12/5).

Reasoning: Leicester have yet to win a match this season but have shown resilience with two draws and two losses. Everton, meanwhile, has struggled significantly, losing all four of their Premier League matches and conceding 13 goals in the process. Leicester’s home advantage and Everton’s defensive frailties make this a prime opportunity for the Foxes to secure their first league win of the season. Leicester have averaged 1 goal per home game, while Everton have conceded an average of 3.5 goals per away match, leaving the visitors vulnerable to Leicester’s attack.

Players to Watch:

Leicester City: Wilfred Ndidi (Midfielder) – Ndidi has been one of Leicester’s most consistent performers, contributing with three assists this season and maintaining a match rating of 7.19. His defensive and attacking presence will be key for Leicester’s midfield dominance. Ndidi is priced at 10/1 to score first and 4/1 anytime.

Everton: Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Forward) – Calvert-Lewin has scored two goals in four appearances and remains Everton’s most consistent attacking threat. His aerial ability, with five aerial duels won per game, makes him a danger in set-piece situations. Calvert-Lewin is priced at 9/2 to score first and 6/4 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth

Prediction: Liverpool win (Odds: 2/7 for Liverpool victory, AFC Bournemouth 8/1 underdogs. The draw is priced at 5/1).

Reasoning: Liverpool have had a solid start to the season, winning three of their four matches. Despite a shock 1-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest in their last game, they have been strong at home, averaging 1.5 goals per match and conceding only once. Conversely, Bournemouth has been inconsistent, managing just one win in their four games. Bournemouth’s away form shows vulnerability, with them conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away match. Liverpool’s attacking firepower, especially with players like Mohamed Salah and Luis Díaz, is likely to be too much for Bournemouth’s defence, which has conceded five goals this season.

Players to Watch:

Liverpool: Luis Díaz (Forward) – Díaz has been Liverpool’s top performer this season, with three goals in four appearances and an impressive match rating of 7.87. His creativity and finishing make him a constant threat to defences. Díaz is priced at 7/2 to score first and 11/10 anytime.

AFC Bournemouth: Antoine Semenyo (Forward) – Semenyo has scored two goals this season and is Bournemouth’s main attacking threat. His pace and ability to get behind defences make him dangerous on the counterattack. Semenyo is priced at 11/1 to score first and 4/1 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Southampton vs Ipswich Town

Prediction: Ipswich Town win (Odds: 11/5 for Ipswich victory, Southampton 6/5 favourites. The draw is priced at 12/5).

Reasoning: Both teams are desperate for points, but Ipswich has shown more resilience this season, with two draws in their last two matches. Southampton, meanwhile, have lost all four of their Premier League matches, and they are yet to score a first-half goal this season. Ipswich’s defence, conceding just 1.25 goals per away match, gives them the edge, despite their limited attacking output. Southampton’s defensive struggles at home, where they have conceded 4 goals in two games, make Ipswich slight favourites to edge this match.

Players to Watch:

Southampton: Ben Brereton (Forward) – Brereton has been a key player for Southampton, with one goal and contributing significantly in aerial duels, winning 1.3 per game. His work rate in both attack and defence will be crucial for Southampton to create chances. Brereton is priced at 5/1 to score first and 13/5 anytime.

Ipswich Town: Dara O’Shea (Defender) – O’Shea has been Ipswich’s standout performer, with an impressive rating of 8.07 and solid defensive displays, averaging six aerial duels won per game. His ability to dominate in the air and organise the backline will be essential to Ipswich’s defensive stability. O’Shea is priced at 12/1 to score first and 4/1 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford

Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur win (Odds: 8/15 for Tottenham victory, Brentford 9/2 outsiders. The draw is priced at 7/2).

Reasoning: Tottenham has had an inconsistent start to the season, with one win, one draw, and two losses. However, they come into this match after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Arsenal. Despite the mixed results, Tottenham’s home form has been decent, scoring an average of 2 goals per home game. Brentford, while resilient, have conceded 4 goals in two away matches this season. Tottenham’s home advantage and attacking quality, led by Son Heung-Min and James Maddison, should give them the edge in this encounter.

Players to Watch:

Tottenham Hotspur: James Maddison (Midfielder) – Maddison has been central to Tottenham’s attacking play, contributing two assists and maintaining a match rating of 7.33 across four appearances. His creativity and ability to unlock defences make him a key player for Spurs. Maddison is priced at 6/1 to score first and 15/8 anytime.

Brentford: Bryan Mbeumo (Forward) – Mbeumo has been in excellent form for Brentford, scoring three goals in four matches and maintaining a match rating of 7.44. His pace and finishing ability will be vital if Brentford are to cause an upset. Mbeumo is priced at 9/1 to score first and 11/4 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

Prediction: Manchester United win (Odds: 7/5 for Manchester United victory, Crystal Palace 7/4 underdogs. The draw is priced at 13/5).

Reasoning: Manchester United head into this fixture with mixed form, having secured two wins and two losses from their four league matches. Their 3-0 victory over Southampton showed their attacking potential, but inconsistency remains a concern. United also enjoyed a comprehensive midweek victory, defeating League One side Barnsley 7-0 in the League Cup, with Rashford, Garnacho, and Eriksen all scoring doubles. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, are still winless in the Premier League, with two draws and two losses. Palace have conceded an average of 2 goals per match at home, while United’s away scoring rate of 1.5 goals per game gives them the edge. United’s attacking prowess and Palace’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest that United should take all three points.

Players to Watch:

Crystal Palace: Eberechi Eze (Midfielder) – Eze has been one of the bright spots for Palace this season, contributing a goal and averaging an impressive 4.5 shots per game. His creativity and ability to take long shots will be key if Palace are to challenge United. Eze is priced at 8/1 to score first and 11/4 anytime.

Manchester United: Marcus Rashford (Forward) – Rashford has been central to United’s attack, with one goal in four appearances and a match rating of 6.7. His pace and finishing ability make him a constant threat to defences. Rashford is priced at 5/1 to score first and 6/4 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Brighton & Hove Albion vs Nottingham Forest

Prediction: Brighton win (Odds: 8/11 for Brighton victory, Nottingham Forest 7/2 outsiders. The draw is priced at 11/4).

Reasoning: Brighton have made an impressive start to the season, sitting sixth in the Premier League with two wins and two draws. They’ve scored six goals and have one of the best defensive records, conceding just two. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest remain unbeaten but have relied heavily on their defence, including a shock 1-0 win over Liverpool. Brighton’s possession-based play and attacking quality should give them the edge in this home fixture, especially with Forest struggling for goals, having scored just four times in four matches.

Players to Watch:

Brighton: João Pedro (Forward) – Pedro has been in excellent form for Brighton, scoring two goals in three league appearances and maintaining an impressive match rating of 7.52. His creativity and finishing ability make him a constant threat in the box. Pedro is priced at 5/1 to score first and 11/8 anytime.

Nottingham Forest: Morgan Gibbs-White (Midfielder) – Gibbs-White has been one of Forest’s key players, scoring once and assisting another goal so far this season. He averages 2.5 shots per game and is vital to Forest’s counter-attacking strategy. Gibbs-White is priced at 10/1 to score first and 3/1 anytime.

2024/25 Premier League Betting – Manchester City vs Arsenal

Prediction: Manchester City win (Odds: 4/5 for City victory, Arsenal 7/2. The draw is priced at 13/5).

Reasoning: This top-of-the-table clash is set to be the highlight of the weekend as Manchester City and Arsenal face off in a battle between first and second place. Both teams are unbeaten in the Premier League, but City’s dominance in recent head-to-head meetings gives them the edge, winning three of the last six, including a 4-1 victory in April 2023. That said, Arsenal are unbeaten in the last three (a draw in the Community Shield which they won on penalties and a win and a draw in the league.).

City’s ability to control possession and their clinical finishing, spearheaded by Erling Haaland, makes them favourites, though Arsenal’s improved defensive structure under Mikel Arteta should make this a close contest.

City have scored 11 goals in their opening four games, boasting a strong attack that’s led by Haaland, who has already netted nine goals. While not as prolific in front of goal, Arsenal has one of the best defensive records, conceding just one goal so far.

Players to Watch:

Manchester City: Erling Haaland (Forward) – Haaland has been in sensational form, scoring nine goals in four appearances with a match rating of 8.79. His finishing ability is unmatched, and he has averaged five shots per game this season. Haaland is priced at 11/4 to score first and 4/7 anytime.

Arsenal: Bukayo Saka (Forward) – Saka has been Arsenal’s standout performer, with one goal and four assists in four appearances, maintaining a match rating of 7.93. His creativity and work rate on the right flank will be key for Arsenal’s counter-attacking opportunities. Saka is priced at 9/1 to score first and 11/4 anytime.

Key Stats:

Manchester City have won 50% of the last six meetings against Arsenal. City has an average possession of 62.1% this season and is known for its short passing and possession-based style. Arsenal are unbeaten this season and have conceded just one goal in four games. They have been strong defensively, winning 13.3 aerial duels per game.

Head-to-Head (Last 6 Matches)
DateResultCompetitionScore
31-03-2024DrawPremier LeagueManchester City 0-0 Arsenal
08-10-2023Arsenal WinPremier LeagueArsenal 1-0 Manchester City
06-08-2023Draw (Community Shield)Community ShieldArsenal *1-1 Manchester City
26-04-2023Manchester City WinPremier LeagueManchester City 4-1 Arsenal
15-02-2023Manchester City WinPremier LeagueArsenal 1-3 Manchester City
27-01-2023Manchester City WinFA CupManchester City 1-0 Arsenal

This is expected to be a tight contest, but Manchester City’s home dominance and firepower should see them through. Manchester City to win and both teams to score is a solid option.

As we look ahead to Week 5 of the Premier League season, it’s clear that every match carries significant weight. From Chelsea’s resurgence to Manchester City’s continued dominance and Arsenal’s defensive solid start, the weekend promises drama and excitement.

Key battles like Manchester City vs Arsenal will shape the title race, while teams like Everton and Southampton will fight to avoid early-season troubles. With top players like Erling Haaland and Bukayo Saka set to shine, this week’s fixtures offer plenty of opportunities for football fans to back a winner at the best betting sites.

All statistics mentioned in this article have been sourced from www.whoscored.com, and the betting odds have been taken from bet365.

Please note that these odds are subject to change. This article is intended for entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always gamble responsibly. For advice on problem gambling, please refer to the organisations listed in this page’s footer.