Spain vs Italy Euro 2024: Predictions, Match Preview, and Betting Tips

Last updated: 18 June 2024 by Leon Marshal

The image is a promotional graphic for the Euro 2024 football match between Spain and Italy. It features the national flags of Spain (a red and yellow horizontal striped flag with the Spanish coat of arms) and Italy (a vertical tricolour of green, white, and red). The flags are positioned on either side of a large "Vs" in the centre. The background depicts a football stadium under bright lights, with a close-up of a player's leg and a football in the bottom left corner. The top right corner displays the Euro 2024 logo along with the tournament name and location, "Germany." The bottom edge is adorned with a colourful border featuring various national flags.

Betfred Our tip Álvaro Morata to score anytime 5/4 VISIT SITE!

Match Information

Matchup: Spain vs Italy
Date & Time: Thursday, 20 June 2024, 20:00 BST
Venue: Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen

Prepare for an intense showdown as Spain faces off against Italy in the eagerly awaited Euro 2024 match at the Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen. Before placing your bets, explore our all-encompassing guide brimming with expert tips and predictions. We delve into team news, tactical strategies, and betting insights to provide you with a well-rounded perspective. Leveraging over 4,000 data points per fixture, our thorough analysis delivers unique Euro 2024 tips that you won’t find anywhere else, potentially giving you a winning edge at the best football betting sites.

Match Odds

Spain: 11/8
Draw: 23/10
Italy: 21/10

Recent Form

Spain’s Last 5 Matches:

  • 15-Jun-24 – European Championships Group B: Croatia 0-3 Spain
  • 8-Jun-24 – International Match: Northern Ireland 1-5 Spain
  • 5-Jun-24 – International Match: Andorra 0-5 Spain
  • 26-Mar-24 – International Match: Brazil 3-3 Spain
  • 22-Mar-24 – International Match: Colombia 1-0 Spain

Spain has shown strong form, winning three out of their last five matches and drawing one. Their recent 3-0 victory against Croatia in the Euro 2024 highlights their attacking prowess and solid defence.

Italy’s Last 5 Matches:

  • 15-Jun-24 – European Championships Group B: Italy 2-1 Albania
  • 9-Jun-24 – International Match: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 Italy
  • 4-Jun-24 – International Match: Turkey 0-0 Italy
  • 24-Mar-24 – International Match: Ecuador 0-2 Italy
  • 21-Mar-24 – International Match: Venezuela 1-2 Italy

Italy has also been performing well with three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their recent win against Albania in the Euro 2024 showed their resilience and ability to come from behind.

Head-to-Head: Spain vs Italy

  • 6-Jul-21 – European Championship: Italy 1-1 (Italy won 4-2 on penalties) Spain
  • 27-Mar-18 – Friendly: Italy 0-0 Spain
  • 2-Sep-17 – World Cup Qualifier: Spain 3-0 Italy
  • 6-Oct-16 – World Cup Qualifier: Italy 1-1 Spain
  • 27-Jun-16 – European Championship: Italy 2-0 Spain

Italy has had the upper hand recently, with a notable penalty shootout victory in the 2021 European Championship. Spain, however, won convincingly in their last World Cup Qualifier match in 2017.

Expected Line-Ups

Spain (4-3-3):

Unai Simón; Dani Carvajal, Robin Le Normand, Nacho, Marc Cucurella; Fabián Ruiz, Rodri, Pedri; Nico Williams, Álvaro Morata, Lamine Yamal

Italy (4-2-3-1):

Gianluigi Donnarumma; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Federico Dimarco; Jorginho, Nicolò Barella; Lorenzo Pellegrini, Davide Frattesi, Federico Chiesa; Gianluca Scamacca

Injuries and Absences

Spain:

Álvaro Morata (Doubtful)

Italy:

Federico Chiesa (Doubtful)

Tactical Considerations

Spain:

Strategy Focus: Spain will likely employ their usual high-possession, quick-passing game to dominate the midfield and create scoring opportunities through intricate plays.
Potential Adjustments: They might bring on an additional forward if chasing the game late or bolster the midfield with an extra midfielder to maintain control.

Key Player Battles:

Álvaro Morata vs. Alessandro Bastoni: Morata’s movement and finishing will test Bastoni’s defensive acumen and positioning.
Dani Carvajal vs. Federico Chiesa: Carvajal’s defensive solidity will be crucial in containing the pace and creativity of Chiesa on the wing.

Italy:

Strategy Focus: Italy will focus on a balanced approach with a strong defensive structure and quick counter-attacks, utilising the pace of Chiesa and the strength of Scamacca.
Potential Adjustments: If leading, Italy may bring on an additional defender or defensive midfielder to preserve their advantage. In an offensive scenario, introducing another forward is plausible.

Key Player Battles:

Jorginho vs. Rodri: This midfield battle will be pivotal in controlling the game’s tempo and distribution.
Gianluca Scamacca vs. Robin Le Normand: Scamacca’s physical presence and aerial ability will challenge Le Normand’s defensive capabilities.

Betting Tips

Top Bet: Spain to win (11/8) – Spain’s recent form and home advantage make them slight favourites. Their attacking strength could overpower Italy’s defence.
Bet suggestion 2: Both teams to score (4/5) – Given both teams’ attacking capabilities and recent scoring form, this bet has a high probability.
Bet suggestion 3: Over 2.5 goals (11/10) – With the attacking talents on display, expect a high-scoring affair.
Bet suggestion 4: Álvaro Morata to score anytime (5/4) – Morata has been in good scoring form and is likely to find the net.
Bet suggestion 5: Draw at halftime (21/10) – Both teams may start cautiously, leading to a balanced first half.

10bet Our top tip Spain to Win 11/8 VISIT SITE!

Match Prediction

Final Score Prediction: Spain 2 – 1 Italy (8/1 for this scoreline).
Analysis: Spain’s attacking flair and recent form give them the edge over Italy. While Italy’s defence is strong, Spain’s ability to control possession and create scoring chances should see them come out on top.

As Spain squares off against Italy in Euro 2024, our detailed analysis offers exclusive tips and predictions, guaranteeing you the most precise insights. Don’t miss out on expert betting advice — check out our guide to the best betting sites.